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U.S. Economy Faces Rising Debt, Rates, and Iran Uncertainty
Rising long-term yields, a national debt past $40 trillion, and oil above $90 are boxing in the Fed as inflation risk resurfaces.

The Modern Era of Global Trade: How Tariffs Are Reshaping the Economy
Higher tariffs are reshaping global supply chains as governments trade economic efficiency for security, resilience and domestic production.

Stock Pick of the Week (8/17)
American Tower Corporation (AMT) is CFR’s Pick of the Week!

National Security, Family Business
Trump’s drone tariffs target Chinese dominance while boosting U.S. manufacturers with ties close to the White House.

The Trillion-Dollar Bet
AI spending is surging, but revenue and adoption have yet to keep pace.

The Fed Is Watching Inflation. It Should Be Watching Who’s Left.
July’s weak jobs report is raising questions about whether the Fed’s inflation focus risks overlooking deeper cracks in the labor market.

SpaceX Earnings Show AI Is Doing Some of the Work
SpaceX beat expectations, but investors looked past the revenue surge and focused on one thing: an AI spending spree that's getting harder to ignore.

Seoul on Fire: The KOSPI’s Historic Crash and Record Rebound
South Korea's KOSPI just had the worst month in its history, followed by the best single day in its history. July 2026 has been one of the strangest m…

Open-Source AI Is Winning Volume, Not Money – Yet
Open-source AI has become good enough for millions of everyday tasks. The challenge for frontier labs is proving that their premium prices remain just…

Houston, We Have a Problem: The UFO Exit
After betting on the space industry's momentum, CFR is cutting its losses on the Procure Space ETF and reallocating capital to small-cap value.

A 1930s Law Nobody’s Used, Until Now
A rarely used 1930 trade law is reshaping U.S.-Canada relations and expanding presidential tariff power.

Why Cheaper AI Doesn’t Mean Lower Costs
Falling token prices have made AI more accessible, but rising usage means the industry's total computing costs continue to climb.

Stock Pick of the Week (7/20)
Broadcom just locked in a $30B+ multiyear deal with Apple through 2031, and with growing AI chip demand from Google, Meta, and OpenAI on top of it, th…

The Inflation Illusion
June's inflation decline suggests progress, but beneath the headline, stubborn core prices and renewed geopolitical tensions show the fight against in…

The Business Behind Costco
Costco’s membership model, razor-thin margins, and relentless focus on value have built one of retail’s strongest businesses, though its limited e-com…

Stocks are rising, but the economy is slowing down. Why?
As economic growth moderates, equity markets continue to rally. This growing disconnect between Wall Street and Main Street has become one of the defi…

Unanimous, But Not United
The Fed held rates steady, but growing divisions among policymakers suggest the path for interest rates remains highly uncertain.

Still Waters: The June Jobs Report and the Illusion of Stability
June’s jobs report points to a labor market that appears stable but is quietly weakening.

Expected Trends, Unexpected Outcomes
Markets often follow familiar economic patterns, but as recent months have shown, unexpected events and shifting investor expectations can quickly res…

Record Revenues, Temporary Gains: The Economics of the 2026 World Cup
The 2026 World Cup is generating record short-term revenue for U.S. businesses, but its overall impact on the broader economy is likely to be temporar…

Strong Numbers, Stretched Households
Strong income and spending masked growing financial strain as households saved less and struggled to keep pace with inflation.

The Pattern of a Revolution – And What it Means for AI
From the Industrial Revolution to the dot-com boom, history shows that technological progress often creates excess before value, and AI may be no exce…

Stock Pick of the Week (6/22)
Avantis US Small Cap Value ETF (AVUV) is this week's pick of the week.

Fed Policy Transition and Geopolitical Risk
A new Fed chair, stubborn inflation, and uncertain Middle East negotiations left investors weighing the risks of tighter monetary policy against hopes…

WHOOP & Oura Signal Towards IPO’s. The Next Big Thing or Another Fitbit?
As WHOOP and Oura race to dominate wearable health technology publicly, investors are asking whether they are building lasting platforms or shaping up…

The Business Behind SpaceX and their IPO
Investors are betting that Starlink’s explosive growth and profitability will eventually outweigh SpaceX’s current losses.

FIFA’s $13 Billion Machine: The Business Behind the World Cup
How FIFA turns one asset, the World Cup, into nearly $9 billion every four years.

The Cut That Isn’t Coming
May inflation hit a three-year high, driven mainly by rising energy prices, pushing Fed rate cuts further out.

Strong Headlines, Frozen Market: The Two Realities of May’s Jobs Report
May’s jobs report showed a surprisingly strong labor market on the surface, but underlying weakness and persistent inflation may keep the Fed from cut…

Stock Pick of the Week (6/8)
Overview Constellation Energy Corp. is the United States’ largest producer of clean energy (10%). They have historically been categorized within the d…

The Fed’s Complicated Path Forward
A stronger-than-expected jobs report reduced expectations for Fed rate cuts, highlighting a slowing but still resilient U.S. economy.

Alphabet’s Hopeful $84.75 Billion Investment
Alphabet raised $84.75 billion to fuel its AI expansion, highlighting the intensifying race for AI dominance.

SpaceX’s IPO Is Playing by Its Own Rules
SpaceX’s massive IPO is reshaping traditional Wall Street rules, reflecting both its unprecedented scale and investors’ enormous expectations for its …

The New AI Arms Race
Anthropic’s Rapid Rise Not too long ago, Anthropic was viewed as an inferior and much less well-known competitor to OpenAI. Founded in 2021 by former …

The Strait That Stopped The World
The biggest story in the world right now isn’t inflation or policy changes. It’s a narrow, 21-mile-wide waterway between Iran and Oman that carries ab…

The Psychology Behind Financial Decisions
Why do some high earners stay broke while others quietly build wealth? The answer often comes down to psychology, discipline, and long-term financial …

The Business Behind Sofi Technologies
SoFi has evolved from a student-loan startup into a major digital finance platform offering banking, investing, and lending services through a technol…

Is Compute Capacity the “New Gold Rush”
The AI boom has created a modern gold rush where computing power is now the key driver of corporate dominance.

How LIV Golf’s Funding Crisis Could Ripple Through the U.S. Economy
LIV Golf’s financial struggles after losing Saudi backing highlight the risks of relying heavily on foreign investment to sustain sports and business.

No Off Ramp: Europe’s Energy Shock
Europe’s shift away from Russian gas has left it heavily exposed to the Strait of Hormuz crisis, driving soaring energy prices and revealing the dange…

The Return of the Oil Shock
For most of the past year, it seemed like the US economy was finally recovering from the extreme inflation that followed the pandemic. Inflation had f…

Stock Pick of the Week (5/18)
The Procure Space ETF (UFO) gives investors a single ticket entry into the space sector and its economy. The ETF, launched in 2019, includes companies…

Investing in IPO’s
IPOs can offer investors early access to high-growth companies while also carrying major risks tied to hype, volatility, and inflated valuations.

Google and SpaceX’s Bet on Orbital Data Centers
Exploding AI energy demands are pushing Google and SpaceX toward space-based data centers and a potential industry-shifting partnership.






