Strong income and spending masked growing financial strain as households saved less and struggled to keep pace with inflation.
Macro
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Fed Policy Transition and Geopolitical Risk
A new Fed chair, stubborn inflation, and uncertain Middle East negotiations left investors weighing the risks of tighter monetary policy against hopes for geopolitical stability.
The Cut That Isn’t Coming
May inflation hit a three-year high, driven mainly by rising energy prices, pushing Fed rate cuts further out.
Strong Headlines, Frozen Market: The Two Realities of May’s Jobs Report
May’s jobs report showed a surprisingly strong labor market on the surface, but underlying weakness and persistent inflation may keep the Fed from cutting rates anytime soon.
The Fed’s Complicated Path Forward
A stronger-than-expected jobs report reduced expectations for Fed rate cuts, highlighting a slowing but still resilient U.S. economy.
The Strait That Stopped The World
The biggest...
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