Inflation is outpacing wages, reducing purchasing power and raising recession risk.
Affordability Crisis: Inflation outpacing growth in American Wages
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Macro
America’s Longest Partial Shutdown: A Crisis at the Intersection of Immigration and Economics
An immigration standoff has caused a costly partial DHS shutdown, disrupting travel, workers, and economic data with no full resolution yet.
The Illusion of Strength: A Fragile U.S. Economy
The U.S. economy looks strong but is increasingly fragile as consumer and labor trends weaken.
Oil Shock, Tariffs, and the Fed: Markets Caught in a Three-Way Squeeze
Markets are falling as oil-driven inflation, new tariffs, and Fed uncertainty collide, raising the risk of prolonged high rates and higher costs across the economy.
The Cost of Darkness: Why Cuba’s Crisis is an American Risk
U.S. actions in Cuba are fueling black-market oil trade and weakening long-term global market stability.
Powell Remains Course, but Oil and Inflation Are Closing In
The Fed held rates as oil-driven inflation limits its ability to cut.
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